Tuesday, August 17, 2004

Moral Wars and Opinion Polls

Since inception, The State of Israel has been fighting, sometimes bullet wars, most of the time mind wars. The biggest threat for this State is ordinary people that question the state of Israel. And by questioning I don’t mean its current policy but its right to be. Therefore it is not a problem based on land and coexistence. When there is a conflict between two parts, and one of them does not accept the existence of the other, it is very difficult to negotiate anything. If Israel had ten times more land or one tenth of the actual land what difference would it make? It stood beyond the infamous green line for many years, did it make her enemies more appease?

To try to summarize the problem as a conflict of two peoples one land does not take you to the base of the conflict

At the end of World War II, during the Nuremberg process, captured Nazis where being questioned, allied forces wanted to understand the drive under the Nazi hate machine. There were technical questions and general questions about the 14 years of Nazi rule. But there was one question in particular that explained more than many. When confronted with the question “what could the Jews have said or done to be spared?” They did not understand the question. The cable inside those minds could not spark an answer. Because there was “nothing” that they could’ve said or done to be spared. The Nazi hate for Jews was catalogued as “irrational”.

So there you have it, if the other party can do nothing to make you happy except disappearing all together, then you have a case of irrational hatred.

The Hamas Charter declaration, does not talk about a Palestinian State, but mentions many times the destruction of “The Zionist Entity” that is irrational. To expose, recruit and teach to hate your enemy more than you love your own life it is irrational too.

For many years after the 1967 war, Egypt wanted the Sinai back, it was willing to negotiate a peace agreement, with the precondition not to inscribe the words State of Israel anywhere in the document.

Check the Gages

Certainly not every Palestinian thinks that the destruction of Israel is the only way. There has been talks about empowering the moderate, reforming its leadership and institutions. This could yield a very promising future. The question is when? And Who? Arafat has spoken time and again for peace in English and of War in Arab. He has betrayed every single hand that he has shaken. So it’s diffidently not him and now this is certainly not the time.

Why not right now? There is a gage, which measures when peace will be viable, and this is the Palestinian Public opinion poll. Israel has asked too many times to bring down the terror apparatus, as a precondition for talks, Israel does not get it. How can you make illegal in 2004 something the 67.6% of the population on the Gaza strip supports?

Israel’s biggest threat is to fall into the need to make friends illusion; to make peace under these conditions is certainly naive. Israel needs to focus on conflict management rather than conflict solving. If there is a need for building a physical barrier to save the lives of its Citizens, then so be it.

So pretty much between 5 and 7 out of 10 people in all the Palestinian towns and areas suffer from irrational hatred towards Israel. Well then anything Israel says or does right now will not matter much. The Change has to come pretty much from within the Palestinian Society. Education plays a very big roll, but even if there was a sudden change in leadership and if this leadership compromises with the principals of coexistence and tolerance, it would probably take more than one generation to achieve some kind of normality.

These are the mean results of a poll inside Gaza and the West Bank in the year 2004.

1) In recent weeks there is a sharp decrease in the level of violence exerted by both sides. In your opinion should Palestinians continue nevertheless the suicide bombings inside Israel if an opportunity arises?
1) Definitely yes 21.9%
2) Yes 36.7%
3) No 31.6%
4) Definitely no 5.5%
5) DK/NA 4.3%


2) After Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and while awaiting general elections in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, there is a talk about Hamas participation in the administration of the Strip. Do you support or oppose this participation?
1) Strongly support 39.6%
2) Support 50.1%
3) Oppose 5.5%
4) Strongly oppose 2.1%
5) DK/NA 2.8%

3) If you support Hamas participation in the administration of the Gaza Strip, how much should its share in decision making be? For example, should it 10% or 90% or something between the two? (Give a percentage between 10 and 90)
The percentage should be ----------------
Median 50%

Please vistit the link to see the complete poll.

http://www.pcpsr.org/survey/polls/2004/p12b.html

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